Research Series
Whale Intelligence Library
A structured collection of research on whale timing, market mechanics, and strategy design.
Updated weeklyCurated by SightWhale Research
Signal Timing & Decay
How fast whale signals decay and when they are still actionable.
1 articles
Market Microstructure
Volume vs conviction, liquidity dynamics, and how price reacts to whales.
Reading Polymarket as a Portfolio: Cross‑Market Hedging & Arbitrage BasketsNoise Control on Polymarket: Practical Rules to Spot Wash Trading & Bait PrintsThe Signal Half-Life: Why Following Whales Too Late is a Losing StrategyWill xQc Beat Forsen's Minecraft Record by Jan 31? Market Analysis
4 articles
Risk & Portfolio
Position sizing, portfolio construction, and strategy risk controls.
Reading Polymarket as a Portfolio: Cross‑Market Hedging & Arbitrage BasketsThe Signal Half-Life: Why Following Whales Too Late is a Losing Strategy
2 articles
Whale Behavior
How top wallets behave across categories and market conditions.
1 articles
Latest research
View all postsMar 9, 2026
Reading Polymarket as a Portfolio: Cross‑Market Hedging & Arbitrage Baskets
Stop treating Polymarket like single bets. Build hedge baskets, map correlated markets, and verify cross‑market mispricings using public order book data.
Mar 9, 2026
Noise Control on Polymarket: Practical Rules to Spot Wash Trading & Bait Prints
Alerts are only as good as the tape. Learn practical rules to spot wash trading, self-trading, and bait prints on Polymarket, with a checklist you can verify.
Mar 3, 2026
The Signal Half-Life: Why Following Whales Too Late is a Losing Strategy
We analyzed 50,000+ Polymarket trades to calculate the 'expiration date' of whale signals. Here's how to know if a signal is still fresh or if you're just exit liquidity.
Jan 27, 2026
Will xQc Beat Forsen's Minecraft Record by Jan 31? Market Analysis
The Juicer vs. The God Gamer. With the January 31 deadline approaching, we analyze the odds, the data, and the reality of the 15:28 record.
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