AnalysisResearchPolymarket
Nested and Linked Outcomes: When Whale Alerts Quietly Double-Count the Same Thesis
Your feed can show five different markets and five different whales—and you still only have one underlying bet. This deep dive explains structural links between prediction-market contracts (nested events, mutex sets, and soft coupling), how to spot accidental concentration, and how to read alerts as a portfolio instead of a sequence of dopamine hits.
·15 min