Deep dives into Polymarket prediction markets, whale strategies, and data insights. Updated daily.
You rarely observe intent directly—only behavior. A behavioral framework for inferring hedge vs speculation on Polymarket from flow patterns, cross-market context, and Smart Money history.
Stop treating Polymarket like single bets. Build hedge baskets, map correlated markets, and verify cross‑market mispricings using public order book data.
The dangerous misconception of blindly following large orders. Learn to distinguish between directional bets, risk management, and position adjustments to avoid becoming exit liquidity.