AnalysisResearchResolution Criteria
Resolution Risk & Wording Arbitrage: The Hidden Edge (and Hidden Landmines)
In prediction markets, you can be right about reality and still lose money. The gap is resolution: wording, sources, edge cases, and oracle mechanics. This guide shows how to score resolution risk, spot “same idea, different contract” mismatches, and build a repeatable pre-trade checklist using public market metadata.
·11 min