Deep dives into Polymarket prediction markets, whale strategies, and data insights. Updated daily.
Polymarket’s Moonbirds governance token FDV market: using the most liquid price source and the “next day 4:00 PM ET” window, we analyze bull vs. bear theses and trading frameworks.
Polymarket’s SPX 7k market: we assess rules, bull vs. bear theses, and whale behavior to judge whether a 1‑minute high clears 7,000.
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Polymarket’s Trump–Macron call market: based on resolution rules and credible reporting consensus, we assess whether an in‑person or phone/video interaction occurs within January.